Sunday, January 15, 2012

Commercial weekly publication: The analyst values malic innovation force to become share price barometer

  Introduction: The United States " commercial weekly publication " network edition carries now civil say, most analyst thinks inside course of study, malic share price still has rise space. But, as dimensions bigger and bigger, it is more and more difficult that the apple should keep higher growth rate.



It is article full text below:



Malic share price is achieved new tall cause trade inside " malic share price rises the s dvd discovery best buy pace still has how old " discuss greatly, but most analyst thinks consistently, malic share price will continue to rise. Share price of apple of close period of time goes up quite big. The newspaper will receive malic share price at 204.92 dollars on October 22, the record high that refresh achieved in December 2007; 23 daily closes at 205.2 dollars, innovate again tall. Share price of the apple a year ago is 91.49 dollars only, the accrual of the investor of average apple stock will exceed 100% at that time.



   Analyst all with one voice

resealable bags

The wall street analyst that researchs malic stock expresses, malic share price still has rise space. After the apple will release money to declare on October 20, most analyst moved malic target share price on ground of too impatient to wait, say tremendous growth potential will drive malic share price to rise to come to 225 dollars 280 dollars, even somebody thinks to will exceed 300 dollars.



In 41 analysts that researching malic stock, 35 people are to malic stock grade " buy " (Buy) or " a large number of enter buying " (the similar grade such as Strong Buy) , 4 people grade is " hold " (Hold) . Only 2 people grade is " sell piece " (Sell) , they call an apple share price by overmeasure.



The target share price that although gave out,differs, but the point of view of the analyst that values an apple is similar. They think, in global more as the apple the market rolls out IPhone(The mobile phone gets online), its sales volume will continue to grow; Mac computer will continue nibble Microsoft the monopoly position on PC market; The flat computer in hearsay will drive malic share price to rise further.



· breaths out Andrew of analyst of Pacific Crest Securities of American investment bank Gelifusi (share price of the apple inside 12 months will develop Andrew Hargreaves) predicting future to come high 260 dollars. His predicting apple 2010 money year not plan accrual, duty gain is 15.1 billion dollar, by be filled with with 13 times city rate, lay in 34 billion dollar plus malic cash next, reach from this malic share price. Hagelifusi expre dog crates large dogs sses, be filled with in view of malic city rate normally prep above 13, its are accordingly right of malic share price anticipate quite conservative.



   Qiao Busi element



Marshall of · of favour of Lai of analyst cloth of Broadpoint.AmTech of firm of American market research (Brian Marshall)10 will be moved 21 days month to 235 dollars on malic target share price, the basis is malic city is filled with lead for 20 times, every accrual was 11.75 dollars 2010. Magendatong negotiable securities analyst Saimiaoer Wilson (Samuel Wilson) will be moved to 220 dollars on malic target share price, every accrual was h the most popular selling dog crates large is predicting apple 2010 7.23 dollars, city is filled with rate for 30 times.



Even if is most the ana dvd discovery channel lyst that values malic share also admits this company faces a risk. The flat computer that malic next year releases may fail. All products that the apple rolls out in recent years all make a great coup, recently " fail " the product is the computer of PowerMac G4 Cube that halted a sale 2001. The analyst thinks, the apple ensures all products can succeed impossibly, can encounter very quickly " failure " product.



Another problem of the apple is Qiao Busi of · of husband of CEO history the base of a fruit (the lieutenancy of Steve Jobs) . Qiao Busi contracts pancreatic cancer, some earlier this year moment accepted hepatic transplanting operation. Partial analyst thinks, qiao Busi leaves his post possibly because of healthy reason soon. Once Qiaobusi leaves his post, malic share price issues defeat possibly, although this can not produce too big effect to the apple. Qiaobusi rests this year during sick leave, library of · of Mu of the base of a fruit of presiding operation official is overcome (Tim Cook) does the apple in perfect orderly. The analyst thinks consistently, qiao Busi leaves his post will make malic share the best selling dvd discoveryprice issues defeat 5%-10% , before, ever the analyst forecasts malic share price to becaus the best selling dog stairse Qiaobusi leaves his post,can issue defeat 30% . Hagelifusi says, "The market had digested the influence that Qiaobusi leaves his post. "The market had digested the influence that Qiaobusi leaves his post..



moto gp xbox   IPhone will face price competition



A few analyst thinks, malic share price by overmeasure. Futures and Lin Debo case of · of Er of analyst skin of MF Global of dealer of period power broker (Per Lindberg) will move 4 dollars on malic target share price only, to 90 dollars, from this year first since, he is all the time to malic stock grade " sell piece " (Sell) . Division says Lin Debo, other analyst is right the appraise value of malic stock and 1999, be exactly the same is worth to the appraise of Internet stock when 2000, "Their appraise value can fall finally greatly " . He thinks " malic market prise will rise 100 billion dollar again " idea is humourous.



Division says Lin Debo, IPhone will face price competition very quickly. The experience of the mobile phone has made clear the blade series of Motolora and Nuojiya, popular mobile phone will suffer clone very quickly, face intense price competition, "We cannot the condition with current foundation ' overmeasure ' prospective situation " . Android mobile phone will be as intense as IPhone compete, force IPhone to depreciate to grow in order to maintain sales volume. Case points out Lin Debo, prospective 12-24 inside the month, "IPhone will no longer one branch alone beautiful " .



   Be in summit summit condition



Case still points out Lin Debo, mac price also is in glide. Although sales volume appears,grow, but Mac average price glided last year 83 dollars, affected operation profit margin of the apple. He says, 2015, malic battalion closes will achieve 65 billion dollar to come 70 billion dollar, but operation profit margin will by on first quarter 22% glide to 14%-15% , "The apple is in summit summit condition at present, this kind of condition won't last too long " .



Lin Debai case did not mention the flat computer that the apple may roll out. Meng Si of · of favour of analyst auspicious of Piper Jaffray of American investment firm is special (Gene Munster) expresses great expectatio dog crates large ns to malic flat computer. Mengsite will be moved to 277 dollars on malic target share price, partial reason is he thinks flat computer and apple are other the product will score a success.



Profit from accountant changes regularly, apple " Zhang face " battalion closes to will have very quickly grow considerably. The accountant before the basis is regular, IPhone battalion closes to be gone to by apportion 24 the middle of a month; New accountant regulation makes an apple can instant plan into major IPhone battalion closes. After adopting new accountant regulation, malic battalion closes compared to the same period amplitude general far outclass " actual level " . Mengsite predicts, hypothesis apple adopts new accountant regulation instantly, battalion closed 2010 will exceed 50 billion dollar, far outclass the 36 billion dollar 2009 (the accountant regulation) before using.



   The apple buys small company normally



Greaten as company dimensions, the growth rate before wanting to maintain will be more and more difficult. After the market is saturated, the enterprise restrains the new run that rate increases before finding enough very hard to maintain again the point of growth. Although constant constant error is strong as a result person meaning, the company that enters this one phase often can be passed giant buy trade increase battalion to close. For example, because Windows and Office market are already saturated, microsoft ever tried to buy Yahoo for many times, aggrandizement searchs business.



In view of have reserve of cash of a huge sum, the apple is hit possibly also buy a brand, but of the apple on the tradition buying an object is the small company that has outstanding talent and technology more. Mengsite expresses, anyhow, it is mature with each passing day that the apple is in. This makes the opportunity cover of average apple stock is shown precious, won't last because of such opportunity too long, once malic share price rises 250, 270 or when 280 dollars, the opportunity of average was missed, "Study malic stock is very simple, investor can forecast innovation activity of the apple, estimate its share price accordingly. Once most popular selling dog crates large the apple innovates speed rein in, share price won't dog crates large best buy rise again " . (Annals circle in the air)

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