Rub is Er mensurable soon terminative?

Let us turn to the look 1965, at that time, the · of associated author Gordon of the Intel company rub Er is forecasted, inside semiconductor industry, the amount of the transistor on chip of every 18 months can break up time. Almost since half century, rub Er law is efficient all the time, it makes the computer more and more inexpensive, traversal speed is faster and faster, the function is more and more powerful at the same time.

However, all the time the expert puts forward a warning to say, rub the obstru dog stairs best buy ct that Er law also can encounter physical law finally, the fast growth momentum that chip lets the person is dazzli dvd discovery 3 ng is sure terminative. Of experts forecast all the time have not happening, but, this kind of idea also is from beginning to end in a lot of popular feeling voluminous.

Rub Er law nearing one's ends?

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The United States " electronic project times " (article of close daily newspaper of EE Times) website points out, this year on April 7, 2009 international physics designs congress, the academician Carl Anderson of IBM points out, rub Er law can make the history very quickly.

Carl Anderson is IBM server branch the researcher of responsible physics design and tool. He thinks, the train before resembling, car and aviation industry are same, semiconductor industry also should have matured, the speed that innovates continuously is in slowly slow down. Show exponential level to drop as the dimension of semiconductor device and cost, rub a heap of musty old books or papers that Er law will enter the history.

Anderson expresses, the chip of the foremost edge such as microprocessor still may meet much nucleus the growth of occurrence index level. But, more dog stairs for bed design personnel discovers, daily application does not need newest physical design. Accordingly, rub Er law will lose effectiveness very quickly. Today, the chip manufacturer of mere high end can the research and development of chip of the generation below the burden and the high cost that design a need, prep let alone makes these chip.

But also the tycoon inside course of study holds different view. According to American media coverage, this year on April 8, december 2009 Intel IT peak is met (on IDF) , intel company president overcomes Ruige Beirui to point out especially: "Directive Intel development is old rub Er law was born 1968, its will continue to produce effect in coming 15 years. Its will continue to produce effect in coming 15 years..

plant lightsChief technology officer holds the Intel company concurrently Gusiting Ruitele is accepting inspector general of department of industry technology career the United States " commercial weekly publication " when interviewing, also insist to think, be in next in 10 years, the chip that the Intel company can let issue a few acting processor to go up breaks up time.

Collateral computation: Computer changes person head

The problem does not depend on a capacity, and depend on speed. A few years ago, the speed of microprocessor achieved) of 3GHz(Ji He. Right now, processing speed cannot go further increase, otherwise, microprocessor can melt because of overheat. 2004, intel 4GHz processor plans to be forced to cancel, semiconductor manufacturer is mixed to transistor amount tall advocate the ceaseless pursuit of frequency is drawn from now on pause.

To solve this problem, semiconductor industry begins to let a few chip do a business at the same time (multi-line Cheng) , is not to let a chip handle an issue with rapidder and rapidder rate. Then, appeared double nucleus and 4 nucleuses processor (two are had on a processor that is based on single semiconductor or) of 4 processor core. Ruitele says, inside 10 years, we may witness those who have the processor of 100 more even kernels to be born.

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But, this raised another new question again: How to discharge these tiny computer engine proper, make do they produce effect better? The operating system has not gotten ready, programming language and program development tool are same also.

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Actually, the programmer that writes software all the time repeatedly people oneself heart also in fear and trembling. The program that they wrote in the past is the serial software that runs on engine of a processor, is not collateral the software that run.

Presiding research and Meng Di of · of case of luck of strategic officer gram say Microsoft: "Came 50 years in the past, we use a kind of means to write software all the time, now, the pattern that we should begin to differ toward transformed. The pattern that we should begin to differ toward transformed..

Collateral computation has appeared for some time, but, be confined to super computer of high end only, write a program for these super computers quite difficult and also expend time.

To common programmer, the challenge that faces now is them whether write the software that runs on collateral computer, make cost lower a most popular selling dog crates large t the same time. Meng Di predicts, microsoft will find settlement way.

Meng Di says, after all cerebrum itself of the mankind is a quite giant collateral computer, write piece can run paralell the program that run is to make the computer the key that work like the mankind and is a machine only not just more.

There is extend on the world ancient changeless apodeict the best selling dvd discoveryic, rub Er law also has annihilation one day in historical dust. Actually, be in early 2005, gordon · the person ever showed Maerben: "Rub Er law goes down impossibly continuously forever. B dvd disc dog stairs overy 4 ecause the volume of chip is minorrer and minorrer, and had been close to atomic bulk, this is the obsta dog stairs and ramps cle of an essential sex, regnant semiconductor course of study 40 years rub Er law comes 10 years 20 years in future likely inside be broken. Regnant semiconductor course of study 40 years rub Er law comes 10 years 20 years in future likely inside be broken..

Now, we are returned cannot accurate conclude rub Er law still can is in charge of with how long, all forecasting and guess adumbrative the next time technical innovation and fly. Will look with current condition, although development of much nucleus technology is rapid, but, its popularize those who return the support that needs software and complete industrial chain to build.